You've got something there. **** the 50/50. Second message was an answer to the first. Can Harrow confirm they definitely came in that order and also what the time difference between them was. If the Second messenger saw the first then they must be the alpha being found out and rushing to call someone else evil. QED (In my mind anyway) DaftRow is the Alpha, most likely, plus his defeated /bitter tone today says it all I think.
@miked2006 I am a little confused by this Why would PowerJugs and Opti being named as good be a bad move by the alpha ?
All I can say is that they came in that order, and there wasn't much time between them. I don't really want to say anymore than that.
thats the beauty of Werewolf, wait till a main character dies and is replaced, it makes it so much more confusing
My tone is the tone of victory against evil Cthulhu. If I go or if you go team good wins today. I'm laughing all the way to the cup... we win a cup if we win right?
It simply means that Opti is unquestionably good. PJ we more or less knew about anyway. But if the wolf wrote first confirming both as good then it was a smart move by the seer to also state the same and therefore makes their message more credible, therefore DAFT ROW is evil. On the other hand, if the first was from the seer and they confirmed both Opti and PJ it was also a smart move by the wolf to confirm it, therefore only exonerating Opti but implicating Daft Row meaning CTHULHU is evil. Either way the writer of the second message has been very clever, all that remains is if HarrowOrn would be able to confirm whether or not the email for the second message was sent before or after he posted the first on to this thread. If the second was received before posting the first then 100% the second was the seer and CTHULHU is evil, if there was enough time for the first posted and the second being written then it's 50:50 between them. Correllating the two things and some simple probability mathematics it makes Cthulhu 75% chance of being evil and Daft Row 25% chance (obviously they both could be evil) but unless Cthulhu can convince me otherwise I will likely vote for him.
An Anthology of Evil: Daft Row’s Wolfy musings days 1-2 (Part 1) Day 1 Love it so far, has to be a random choice first vote right? This message is causing me confusion. Nice and Quiet there Wolfy. Nice and under the radar. Classic. Day 2 So... who are we thinking of voting for? FFS, the one time I'm something interesting! Yeap you sure are! Thats an interesting idea but I can't imagine Harrow / Opti being so obvious in their write-up? Squibba said: ↑ Didn't even know Daft Row was playing. Will vote for him based on the fact there's nothing else to go for and he's gone under the radar. I have this thing called work which tends to get in the way of posting all the time! I have read through all the posts though and will look through them again when I get home in an hour. But at the moment I'd suggest PJ as he is the only one who has been mentioned in a message that we can rely on, good or bad. Daft Row, Yesterday at 6:03 PM Then starts posting lots more when accused by Squibba (Squibba mysteriously eaten that evening) I note Dom rushed to protect Daft Row yesterday implying Daft Row the Seer and silently voted for Squibba for lynching. Hmmm. Daft Row is the Alpha, view Dom tomorrow as I think we have our traitor.
Your reasoning has gone above my head. ill try to reread it. Harrow has confirmed the first message was first ie: Daft Row evil The second was second saying I am evil. I am not sure how that makes it 75% chance I am evil I will state again. I AM NOT A WOLF. EDIT have reread. Think that means it goes back to 50/50 for you Otter. If your playing that way go with your gut.
Are you really asking why a wolf's message - which reveals two good players - is a bad move for them?
Harrow hasn't confirmed whether he received the second BEFORE posting the first on the thread. If the second message writer didn't have the chance to read it before emailing Harrow then it's almost certain the second was the seer's. EDIT: He just said he won't anyway.
If I was the traitor why did I vote for Daft Row today? Btw I didn't vote silently I voted for Squibba as he was trying to out someone we need in the seer.
Classic, if Dom is the traitor (so he can see who is evil) and I was a wolf (evil) why would he vote for me today? Stop talking nonsense to try and confuse, it just makes you look silly. Let the vote commence.
I could be wrong about Dom then! I didn't see he had voted for you. And he has voted early. I was merely pointing out what I had seen whilst looking through your postings for last two days. I am going to stop accusing people of being the traitor. As I have probably have it wrong.
It doesn't really, I'd rather everyone looked at it on its real merits. It's a 50/50, the rest is conjecture but conjecture is the only differentiator to consider when choosing.
But we had already established that Opti and PJ were good. The wolf is always going to copy the seers style and cause as much confusion as they could. What the wolf has managed to do is spread the possibilities of who is evil by throwing Gags and CB back into the mix. He might have been very clever by taking them out of the equation for a couple of days till a few villagers had gone and the odds swayed more into their favour. Don't rule out anything
You're a betting man Otter. I doubt I can convince you otherwise if you feel the odds are more that I am evil. I am sincerely and consistently saying however that I am an ordinary villager. Daft will you say the same?
Wow I think this is the first game of werewolf I have ever played, where 2 players are definitely known to be good after only 3 days of play! Very happy to be innocent, but it does somewhat paint a massive target on my back. I would appreciate it if the guardian could protect me tonight. Might be best if you kip at mine too powerjugs. No funny stuff though. Anyway my vote will be going for daft row. Cthulhu can die tomorrow if daft row is innocent, but to me the first message reads like the seer. The second message is clearly a panicked response.
Interesting that you felt the need to clarify that though? Agree with Cthulu on this - Daft now needs to clarify their role.
There was 6 minutes between the 2 posts. Even if the wolf did see it that doesnt leave much time to concoct your plan, email Harrow and then Harrow to post on here. Its possible of course but would make it a little less unlikley, which would weigh the vote towards message 2 being the seer and Cthulu being Evil ( or Tinker). My previous post about the similarities in the vernacular between Day 3 message 2 and Day 2 Message 2 would back this up, (becasue we ve generally agreed that Day2 Message 2 was The Seer.) The similarities being, in the way he comments on what the Wolf has been doing. ie Day 2 Message 2 It looks like the Wolf has opted to post first and throw Hornetgags into the equation. Unfortunately I have already had my view today and saw that Optimistichornet is GOOD. Day 3 Message 2 The Wolf has been very evasive so far. I have viewed Powerjugs and Optimistichornet and they are good. I decided to view Cthulhu. Cthulhu is EVIL.
