Summer Werewolf II - Day 3

Discussion in 'Werewolf: The forum game' started by Harrow Orn, Jun 28, 2017.

  1. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    How bizarre! Sorry SLB - wrote my post before saw yours.
     
  2. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    Looking at all messages the use of "everybody" counters your suggested use of capitals.

    On day one I don't think we ascertained which of the two messages was real as both were found to be good, other than the fact that the second message came late on.

    Something about the first message doesn't quite sit right with me
    , surely the seer would have written "he must have been".
     
  3. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    We know which message was real on the first day, as both messages on the second day say that they viewed Ashdon and he was good. Therefore logically, one has to be from the Seer.

    The use of "everybody" was flagged up by BRLR yesterday. The Wolf has clearly read that post.

    Edit: it wasn't just the capitals, it was the paragraph spacing too.
     
  4. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    Good point Otter, the Alpha knows who the other wolf is so knows that Daft Row was the tinker.
     
  5. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    Guardian can only guard each player once. They guarded Diamond on the first night. Agreed that it was a waste coming to mine though as I was round someone else's.
     
    BigRossLittleRoss likes this.
  6. BigRossLittleRoss

    BigRossLittleRoss First Team

    I don't think we can pay too much attention to the style because the seer has possibly said that they will mix styles to avoid duplication and of course the wolf will deliberately be mixing styles .

    I'm not necessarily saying that SLB is evil , although I'm not discounting it , but it relies on extreme odds of him being a harlot AND Daft Row being tinker .

    The only other option is to take a pot luck and lynch someone else who is most likely to be good .

    SLB your argument is pretty strong the more I read it , but not water tight . Ordinarily that would be enough to convince me you are telling the truth , but with so little else to go on , it's hard not to pick you . Apologies if I'm wrong .
     
  7. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    BRLR - we know for a fact it was the Wolf that said they would be mixing the styles up!!!!!!! Let me try to explain it as simply as possible:

    Day 1 Message 1 HAS TO BE THE SEER. How do we know this? Because both messages the following day said that they viewed Ashdon, therefore one must have been from the Seer. Therefore Day 1 Message 2 has to be from the Wolf, and it is they who said they would be mixing the styles up.

    There is no maybe or possibly about it, you can work it out 100%!
     
  8. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    How many possibilities are there right now? All this tinker and harlot business is confusing me.
     
  9. PowerJugs

    PowerJugs Doyley Fanatic

    Last game had a lot of free time as it was quiet. This week been much the opposite.

    Also, morning.
     
  10. Grrwood

    Grrwood Reservist

    Wolves know eachother now... I suggest we keep and eye out if anyone's behaviour towards each other changes.

    Seems more likely now that SLB is the harlot but can we risk not lynching someone named evil?
     
  11. PowerJugs

    PowerJugs Doyley Fanatic

    This is the crux of the matter. SLB's actions are consistent but the fact he was named Evil? Argh. Stupid Forum game.
     
  12. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    I've got my eye on you!
     
  13. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    Does the person who the harlot visits know that the harlot visited them?
     
  14. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    No, at least I presume not. Harrow?
     
  15. PowerJugs

    PowerJugs Doyley Fanatic

    Moderator discretion, when I was Harlot no they didn't. I knew them but they didn't know I'd visited.

    Fair enough.
     
    Last edited: Jun 28, 2017
  16. steve harrow

    steve harrow Reservist

    Another interesting morning. I'm presuming Diamond was picked as known safe and couldn't be protected by the guardian again. As for SLB, I just don't know but can understand why he seems a better pick than someone at random. No one else left has been called evil at this stage have they?

    Advance warning that my work is ludicrously busy and also I'm out from about 6.15pm tonight so will need to vote relatively early.
     
  17. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Hello. Back until midday.

    Re question above - no. because in the last game 'Jugs had visited me (which he revealed after I'd been eaten). I had no idea.

    Players Left

    BigRossLittleRoss
    Otter
    The PozzMan
    Steve Leo Beleck - named evil; claims to be the harlot
    Grrwood
    With A Smile
    Squibba - named as good by seer/wolf
    Cassetti's Beard
    HappyHornet24
    Meh
    Cthulhu
    Hornetgags
    Nisman
    Domthehornet
    Steve Harrow
    PowerJugs
    NW Orn
    Optimistichornet - named as good by seer/wolf

    So 18 players left; at least 3 are evil, 2 of whom know each other's identities. (This is assuming there is only one traitor in the mix)

    The question is, whether it is worth asking SLB to prove he is the harlot by "outing" the good players he has visited? Normally, it wouldn't be worth the risk as it gives the wolves "free kills" but they pretty much have that anyway as they know each other's identities. The only evil player they don't know is the traitor but I imagine that won't be too hard for them to work out either, now they know each other.
    Actually, this won't work because he could just lie if he's evil.

    Aaaargh!
     
  18. Meh!

    Meh! Pre-Dictator

    We know there is a harlot as explained by Harrow in the rules.

    No one else has claimed to be the harlot.

    Lynching slb tonight without another harlot revealing themselves is rediculous in my opinion.
     
  19. NW Orn

    NW Orn First Year Pro

    Morning all. I'm reading through all of this and trying to get to grips with it. However this ^^^ does make sense. Only the alpha wolf knows for a fact that DR was the tinker.

    SLB makes a good argument for being the Harlot but other than two names put forward as good what else do we have to go on ?
     
  20. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    I agree. The only scenario that would allow SLB to falsely claim to be the harlot would be if either mike or Ashdon were the harlot;they failed to go out on the first night and were killed. But this seems very unlikely to me and SLB would not have known this when he claimed to be the harlot.

    The fact that the Seer did not view me makes me think that I am not wide of the mark. I was quite vocal yesterday - leading to some accusing me of being the traitor or a "special role" - and yet the Seer did not view me as someone suspicious.

    I am very wary of lynching SLB and do have a couple of people on my radar. However, is it irresponsible to point the finger at someone without firm evidence and ignore someone who has been named evil?

    If SLB is evil, he has played a blinder but I can't believe the "real" harlot would not have come forward by now.
     
  21. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    Now having thought it through...

    FACT having slain Diamond last night both wolves know each other.

    CLAIM SLB outed himself as the harlot, no one else has disputed that with a counter claim.

    WHY NOT? No normal villager would do that and compromise another good player dishonestly, no evil player would do that as that will give unwanted attention on themselves.

    If SLB was a wolf then whoever is the Alpha would have almost certainly wrote a message stating that someone else was EVIL in order to help save the wolf from a certain lynching.

    If SLB is the harlot as far as the wolf is concerned, then realistically the only way to get rid of them is to either be lucky or get the villagers to lynch him, hence the message randomly stating someone else is good.

    The only other reason for the wolf to name someone evil would have been if the seer's message was stating someone as evil.

    Conclusion SLB is most probably the harlot. And for the wolf not to name someone evil then message #2 must have been the wolf's, even going as far as reiterating that SLB is evil.
     
  22. Meh!

    Meh! Pre-Dictator

    I wonder if the write up would have alluded to the harlot being killed as they've been pretty clear so far.

    I have a couple on my list. May go into it later.

    Doubt anyone newly named today is the beta. The seer will say if evil. The alpha wont draw attention to their new known friend.
     
  23. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    Right here goes nothing, it's time for the Hail Mary to try to save my life!

    @Cassetti's Beard - I appreciate you're on holiday and have got better things to do than to play this game, that's probably why you didn't vote last night! Can you do Team Good one favour though if you happen to check the website? Can you just confirm that you're GOOD? I know this as I'm the Harlot and I visited you one night (oo-er missus!).

    If CB logs on and confirms that, then in the absence of anyone else, he could lynched tonight as an inactive player who is likely to go anyway, and his sacrifice will allow a Good player who is also the Harlot to survive.

    I am not willing to name the other person I have stayed with at the moment because they have been active and it seems unfair to highlight their name to the Wolves.
     
    Meh! likes this.
  24. Grrwood

    Grrwood Reservist

    This makes sense to me. One thing though - are we certain there actually is a harlot in this game?
     
  25. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    PowerJugs and Grrwood like this.
  26. With A Smile

    With A Smile First Team

    I can clearly see where Otter is coming from.

    It's easier when you can see it laid out in perspective
     
  27. With A Smile

    With A Smile First Team

    Hello team evil ?
     
    BigRossLittleRoss likes this.
  28. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    Come to think of it, I have another piece of circumstantial evidence to help prove I'm the Harlot.

    Cassetti's Beard didn't vote yesterday and Harrow had already stated that the first day was a final warning for everyone. So why wasn't he kicked out of the game? Because I chose to stay with him last night and because I was playing football when voting closed, I chose him BEFORE the results were known. He didn't vote but Harrow couldn't kick him out of the game otherwise that would have been unfair on me, as I couldn't have then chosen someone else before the deadline he set for BRLR to do the write-ups.

    Why did I choose to stay with him? I read Harrow's message about submitting night actions early only five mins before going out to football, so had to make a snap decision. I was pretty certain that Team Evil had been quite active so just chose the person who'd contributed least as I thought I'd be safe there and the Wolves wouldn't waste a kill.
     
  29. Harrow Orn

    Harrow Orn Squad Player

    Just to be clear, I have given Cassettis Beard one last chance to post more and vote. If he doesnt he'll be kicked out the game!

    Sent from my SM-G920F using Tapatalk
     
  30. Optimistichornet

    Optimistichornet Penguin Assassin

    Why do people keep saying that the first message can't be from a seer as it states that 'daft was the tinker'. The seer would know for definite that daft was a tinker if he had viewed him as evil and it turns out he was good. There is theoretically no other outcome there, so it's a logical conclusion for the seer to make?

    Personally squibba seemed quite lost and confused yesterday, so it seems an odd choice to view him. I know for a fact I am good, but I still think there is a chance I have been name dropped by the wolf.
     
    Steve Leo Beleck likes this.
  31. PowerJugs

    PowerJugs Doyley Fanatic

    Lunch time.

    What've I missed?
     
  32. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    Nice try.
     
  33. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Hello. For once I'm early for my lunch so sitting waiting in pub & checked in quickly. So, rightly or wrongly, finally others are following my (& Meh's) logic. Does this mean you don't think I'm a traitor anymore Otter?!

    People on my radar: BRLR; was Otter before above post; DomtheHornet
     
  34. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    ...& PowerJugs
     
  35. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    HH24 you are off my radar (for now anyway!)
     

Share This Page