Christmas Werewolf 2023 - Day Two

Discussion in 'Werewolf: The forum game' started by domthehornet, Dec 29, 2023.

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Day Two Lynching

  1. Skyla

    0 vote(s)
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  2. Otter

    10.0%
  3. Norwayhornet

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  4. Daft row

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  5. Watford Willy

    0 vote(s)
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  6. Miked2006

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  7. Tony

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  8. TomWatfordFC

    90.0%
  9. Garbelia

    0 vote(s)
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  10. HappyHornet

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  1. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    It was a very quiet night. Apart from the when the full moon rose. The wolf howled and was joined by a second howl.

    The guardian had slept through the howls.

    ++++++++++±+++++++++++++++++++

    Day Two begins
     
  2. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    Shortest write up ever!

    Does this mean that:
    1. Wolf 1 forgot & wolf 2 wasn't allowed a kill?
    2. Wolf 1 and the guardian chose the same person?
    3. Wolf 1, the new wolf and the guardian chose the same person?
    4. Wolf 1 effectively chose wolf 2?
     
  3. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    Morning all my apologies for worst play ever yesterday.
     
  4. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    Whatever scenario we effectively have 2 wolves again and we minus a player that has been turned .
     
  5. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Morning all. Apologies in advance if I am not hugely active today. Have a load of people arriving for dinner tonight so today is going to be a bit manic preparing. Will pop on sporadically and then, if I survive, will be able to be more involved from tomorrow (albeit with a hangover!)

    Thoughts on the write up:
    - I think the Guardian forgot. Even if the Guardian chose someone who then became a wolf, I think the person they chose would still be referred to.
    - whichever wolf was left either forgot or chose the player who had already been “turned” by the full moon

    The messages today should make clear whether or not SLB was the Alpha or Beta wolf. I suspect he was the Alpha.

    Good that we are one evil down but today is effectively a reset, so yesterday’s play doesn’t really count for anything. What we can surmise, though, is which message yesterday was the Seer’s and hopefully we can use this to our advantage. Hopefully today we will also be able to see who votes which way.
     
  6. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    Dom said the guardian slept through the howls does this mean he forgot to protect someone ,or surety we'd have had a write up saying guardian protected whoever !?
    If option 4 we have wolves that no each other .
     
  7. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Also, don’t really the understand the logic of anyone who didn’t vote for SLB yesterday.
     
  8. GarbeliaHornet

    GarbeliaHornet Academy Graduate

    To me that reads like a new wolf got turned and the guardian forgot.
     
  9. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Ahh yes, Otter and Norway both make a good point - a third scenario is one in which the two wolves now know one another’s identities.
     
  10. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    A new wolf definitely got turned - getting an evil on day 1 (well done seer btw) was always going to result in a full moon.
     
  11. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    Message;

    Good day villagers.

    Yesterday was a pure guess and I correctly saw SLB as EVIL.

    Today there is still very little to go on because there were very few messages, I decided to view TomWatfordFC and he is EVIL

    It's not easy being a seer, but I'd rather that than be a shepherd on a windy hillside.
     
  12. GarbeliaHornet

    GarbeliaHornet Academy Graduate

    When new players get turned, does the alpha pick them normally? I feel like if anyone was killed or protected we'd have a longer writeup
     
  13. TomWatfordFC

    TomWatfordFC Reservist

    Morning all. A bit of a snooze fest!
     
  14. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    I believe usually the new wolf is chosen by the Game master ,in this case Dom. The player chosen would have been notified last night .
     
  15. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Usually the person running the game picks them. No one was killed last night and I think the write up of the guardian “sleeping” means that the player given that role forgot to do it last night!
     
  16. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    Odds on 2 out of 2 for the Seer, Otter ?
    I'm staying out of the who is wolf who is seer messages today ,after being so wrong yesterday.
     
  17. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Wow if that’s really the Seer then they have the best recorded views ever and poor dom must have his head in his hands at the thought of another full moon! Let’s wait for the second message. Have to log off for a while now but will come back when I’m on a “break” and see how the land lies!
     
  18. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    So will we get another message saying Tom is good?
     
  19. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    11 starters yesterday, seer wouldn't choose themselves, so 2in 10 = 20%. Today 2 in 9 = 22%, so 2 in 2 would be about 8.9% chance, translated into bookmaker odds that's 41/4, given more than 11 games have been played this is not that unreasonable but the lower numbers in this game make it more plausible.

    I conclude that Dom is the seer!
     
    HappyHornet24 and Norwayhornet like this.
  20. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Administrator Staff Member

    Morning villagers.

    Good first night and one EVIL gone already.

    Two EVIL viewings in the first two days already? Interesting. It does seem like whoever else was a wolf forgot to vote or the full moon effect came into play. Hopefully second message will enlighten more.
     
  21. TomWatfordFC

    TomWatfordFC Reservist

    It's annoying that we are back to square one with the messages today (well, most of you are - unless I am the tinker I know which message I will believe!). But it's a nice problem to have.
     
  22. miked2006

    miked2006 Premiership Prediction League Proprietor

    Hahaha. So the guardian forgot but the other wolf also forgot. I quite like the randomness
     
    HappyHornet24 likes this.
  23. miked2006

    miked2006 Premiership Prediction League Proprietor

    My current strategy is to target anyone going to a Christmas party
     
  24. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    It's 100% to date
     
  25. miked2006

    miked2006 Premiership Prediction League Proprietor

    If Tom turns out to be evil, this is exactly what a full moon wolf would say!
     
  26. tonycotonstache

    tonycotonstache Squad Player

    Well I must admit this is quite nice and calm compared to the last one.
     
  27. tonycotonstache

    tonycotonstache Squad Player

    I'm assuming that 2 fairly non active players from yesterday very likely to be wolf and seer?
     
  28. GarbeliaHornet

    GarbeliaHornet Academy Graduate

    Probably, although they might have been active during the day and forgot to do their night player things later on
     
  29. tonycotonstache

    tonycotonstache Squad Player

    So far today non actives:
    Watford Willy
    Daft Row

    Both very quiet yesterday too.
     
  30. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    I would say wolf, yes, seer not necessarily.
     
  31. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    Tony what's your take so far?
     
  32. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    This is the quietest game I can remember so it's very difficult to gauge general feelings.

    Despite the non-event of the overnight actions, we still had two messages yesterday.
     
  33. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    And one today which is similar in style to the message calling out SLB !
     
  34. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    Plus it's still a working day for many .
     
  35. Norwayhornet

    Norwayhornet Squad Player

    I'd still like to know who voted for who ,at present anonymous voting helps team evil hide
     
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