Covid-19 Virus

Shocking. Bodies piled high for cremation, its like scenes from a medieval plague. Its unforgivable for any country to be so unprepared for covid after the lessons of the last 16 months.

 

Maybe, but you do have to factor in the huge size and density of their population. I'm surprised it hasn't happened before now.

 

It's good news but not as good news as I'd have expected. Only a 38-49% reduction in transmission rate. Presume the end of the case for Covid passports aftre one jab on the basis that the holder could still have mild/no sympton covid and still has a 62-51% chance of passing it on, but the key will be the %s after 2 jabs ?

 

And still in India some states refuse to lock down.

The 9:00am entry in the BBC feed https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-56890174

 

It’s still huge if you consider the impact on the R number. Even if you are only 40% less likely to pass it on, given the spread is exponential, it will make a huge impact to the spread of the virus.

 

Assuming that having had a jab doesn't affect in any way the behaviour of the individual.
I suspect once jabbed, and therefore less-fearful, individuals will be far less careful about their behaviour.

 

Same. India seemed an accident waiting to happen: huge population densely packed, and a significant percentage of the population very poor and uneducated. It's a recipe for disaster, and I am only surprised that it didn't happen midway through last year.

 

"Those given a first dose of either the Pfizer or AstraZeneca vaccines - and who became infected three weeks later..."

So it's OF those who got infected they were learly half as likely to transmit it.

If you are also 75% less likely to be infected you're 8 times less likely to become infected and pass it on.

 

I see elections are going ahead in West Bengal as cases in India continue to rise, 279k new cases yesterday, 17k of which in the state of West Bengal. Utter madness that they can't be postponed for 6 months.

My mother-in-law in Peru will get her first jab on Tuesday much to the relief of my wife. I plane load of Pfizer and AZ arrived yesterday, Peru had ordered 20m of Pfizer and 12m AZ, their population is about 30m. I guess the AZ vaccine will be used in the remote areas in the Amazon and the Andes as it can be stored at fridge temperatures, and Pfizer used in the cities.

 

Given India has 20 times our population, wouldn’t their deal toll need to reach 2.5 million to be a worse outcome than us?

 

And amazingly the first 2 Test Matches in Feb were played in front of full crowds...

 

It will become endemic in every country, so will probably never be totally eradicated. Periodic more severe flare-ups will occur dependent upon numerous specifics.

 

They shall inherit the wind?

 

Fake News, mate.

 

I was in a school production of the play. ‘Do we believe? Do we believe the Word? Do we believe the truth of the Word?’

 

My Daughter was at the Liverpool music thing last night with 5000 others and also at the other test event on Friday, and tested negative today. The light is definitely getting closer.

 

But has her car still got its hubcaps?

 

Very jealous.
I'm getting older and it was getting rarer and more boring to go on bigger nights out like that but in a few months I can't wait to push past a sweaty crowd, pay £5 for a tiny bottle of Becks, queue for the toilet, get beer/piss all over my shoes and repeat for 3 hours.

 

I’m just missing the chance to sit in a restaurant and moan about the fact that we could get 5 bottles of the same wine from Sainsbury’s for less than the restaurant price. Mrs TuT is missing that too.

 

I thing I’ll miss (if it goes) is table service at bars/pubs. Sure it’s nice to stand in a bar and chat with your mates, but being in my late thirties now, I think I just much prefer sitting down and having drinks ferried to you, as opposed to trying to get served at a bar 3/4 deep, then trying to get all your drinks back without spilling them.

 

I'm with you on this. Spoons were already doing it long before covid. Now that other pubs have invested in apps to order and pay at the table I'm hoping that they'll all keep going with it.

 

I’m quite the opposite. I find having to sit and use table service isn’t for me, I prefer to be stood up at the bar.

 

Getting in the way.

 

Ha! No I’m not one of those. In my local there is a corner of the bar that works well for sitting at and being out of the way.

 

The IMHE (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) just shifted their reporting to be based on a model that estimates actual COVID-19 related deaths, rather than self-reported deaths.

As you might expect, this revises the death totals up significantly for a number of countries (seen mostly keenly in the obviously underreporting ones, like Russia).

http://www.healthdata.org/special-a...covid-19-and-scalars-reported-covid-19-deaths

Their estimates place total Covid related deaths at approximately 7 million worldwide, about double the reported deaths on Worldometers.

The US breaks 900k on the IMHE's model, while UK deaths are up approximately 33% (150k -> 210k). India's reported deaths triple, and Russia's estimated deaths multiply to about 6 times higher.