Can a fast start avoid a slow death? Promoted teams have struggled to survive in the Premier League, with 47% relegated in their first season. So it is little surprise that they have such a poor record on the opening day. In fact, they have won just three such fixtures out of 30 in the past decade, losing 20. But getting early-season points is just as vital lower down the table as it is at the top and rebounding from an early setback quickly marks out those that survive. Over the past 20 seasons there has been a reasonably clear threshold that promoted teams have to reach to be confident of survival - 11 points from the first 10 matches. Below we see the number of points earned by promoted teams during their first 10 matches in the Premier League, the number of teams surviving and being relegated with those points, and the survival rate: Promoted teams - and how they have fared over last 20 seasons Points after 10 games Survived Relegated % survival rate 0-7 2 15 12% 8-10 8 7 53% 11-12 10 2 83% 12+ 15 1 94% Overall, 11 or more points to start your campaign gives an 89% chance of staying up, but get less than 11 and the survival rate drops to 31%. But are the opening games more important than the final ones? Does the closing of the transfer window allow teams to regroup? Crystal Palace and Leicester City have previously made memorable runs to avoid the drop, winning 18 and 22 points respectively from their final 10 games, but these superhuman efforts are rare. When comparing the opening and closing 10 games of the season for promoted teams, being better in the first 10 gives a 71% chance of survival, while being better in the final 10 (Palace and Leicester aside) gives a 58% chance. And what of the magical 11 points from 10 games? Twenty five clubs have managed this in their first 10 games and survived, while only 15 have managed this in their final 10 and stayed up. A poor start can lead to a long, disappointing season. So whether you hope to challenge at the top or scrape survival at the bottom, it is wise to carefully analyse those opening fixtures and make the most of them.