OK, last 2 times we crashed and burned, losing the money quick smart. This time we can't lose, (but we will). Just vote on which of the above matches you think WON'T end in 0-0. That's it. I'll do the rest.
I can actually see Sunderland/Chelsea ending goalless. Sunderland seem solid enough in defence but toothless up front. Chelsea may struggle to break them down as they haven't really hit peak from yet this season. With that in mind I've gone for Norwich/WBA. Two teams that like to get the ball down and play.
So due to overwhelming popularity, the bet against 0-0 has been made on the Sunderland v Chelsea match. Odds to lay on Betfair were 13's. Here we go.
You see you've created a problem now. It's against the original rules so you shouldn't really, however you've suggested it, if it wins and you didn't :rant:
You're right. In future I will only put up games on the same day so this temptation won't happen again. To overcome this today, I won't put the bet on, but if the match doesn't end in 0-0 then I'll top up the fund myself. Current lay odds are 12.5, so a risk of £10.73 for a profit (after commission) of 84p. If there's a goal we have £11.57 If it's 0-0 we still have £10.73
Have to agree now that a goal has been scored :biggrin:. £11.57 it is. I shall find some games midweek for round 3.
Just a thought adders. How dififcult would it be to do a multiple. Ie put up say 5 matches and then bet on the first and second most popular to be goal scored? Would give better odds
It is relatively easy to do, but we get no advantage really. Doing this round by round, and gambling the whole pot on each bet is exactly the same as doing a multiple, so if we take 12 rounds to get to £100, there's no difference against laying £10 against the same 12 matches in one go to make the £100. I think it's better for me to put up 4 or 5 matches, see which 2 are most popular and weigh those up against the best lay odds.
I've never found a difference worth getting money on. There are a lot of very clever people out there who watch the markets constantly and jump at any variance. I thought I had found a glitch once and tried to make money from laying the 0-0 and betting on the asian handicap of +0.5 goals, but after commission there was no profit.
QPR v Newcastle is a good example. In the Asian handicap market QPR are given + 0.5 goals, Newcastle are given -0.5 goals. This means the result with the handicap cannot be a draw, and the odds are closer than would normally be the case with the draw in play.
