Coronavirus Werewolf Day 2

Discussion in 'Werewolf: The forum game' started by Otter, Mar 24, 2020.

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Coronavirus Werewolf DAY 2

Poll closed Mar 25, 2020.
  1. Cassetti's Beard

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  2. GoingDown

    41.7%
  3. Grrwood

    8.3%
  4. HappyHornet24

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. Horace_goes_up_north

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  6. hornetgags

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  7. lowerrous

    25.0%
  8. miked2006

    25.0%
  9. nornironhorn

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  10. Optimistichornet

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  11. Squibba

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  12. steve harrow

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  13. wfcmoog

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
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  1. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    Your powers don't give you any extra insight as to who is a wolf
     
  2. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    So we are pretty confident message 2 today is from the wolf?
     
  3. hornetgags

    hornetgags McMuff's lovechild

    No, but as I said I need to nail it down.
     
  4. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    I assume you think it is GoingDown?
     
  5. miked2006

    miked2006 Premiership Prediction League Proprietor

    My current theory. If he's evil then Squibba could be a potential traitor.
     
  6. hornetgags

    hornetgags McMuff's lovechild

    Haha, no that was unintentional...but I like the way your mind works.
     
  7. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    I'm inclined to agree.

    So far all we know (assuming message 1 is the seer which seems likely) is that horace, steve harrow and hornetgags are good.

    From the remainder, GoingDown's inexperience might suggest he is the alpha wolf. Unless it is a smart bluff by an experienced player to frame him.

    In all the games I've played it suits a wolf and a seer to fly below the radar. We have a lot of players who have been pretty inactive across both days so I imagine the other wolf is amongst those players. Sadly the seer probably is too though so we need to be careful when accusing the under the radar players.
     
  8. Optimistichornet

    Optimistichornet Penguin Assassin

    My take so far today message 2 is definitely from the wolf. It was a weird move yesterday and it’s made even weirder today. Why would you just not copy pasta the first message and change the names?

    Like others I think we are dealing with a first time wolf and possibly a new player or someone who is trying to make it appear that way.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if going down was a wolf.
     
  9. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    You’d have to find the pasta first...
     
    wfcmoog likes this.
  10. GoingDown

    GoingDown "The Stability"

    Because I'm new and asking questions about it? I guess i've played into the hands of someone who is experienced. Moog thought that the gunslinger showed up as good so I think it's a stretch to assume that because Gags says it doesn't, it doesn't
     
  11. hornetgags

    hornetgags McMuff's lovechild

    Interesting you say that because you weren't on my radar and still aren't, however Opti is pushing you as a wolf based on not very much.

    Wolfie's first message was unusual in not naming anyone...which is a novel approach and could suggest an experienced player - a wolf's greatest weapon is causing confusion...and that's what he did...confused everyone.
     
  12. Grrwood

    Grrwood Reservist

    Afternoon all, just been catching up on messages. A wolf down already is a great start. Safe to say that message 2 is the wolf, leaving Horace and Steve Harrow. Don't think we can read too much into the wolf naming lowerrous, no doubt just a randomly chosen villager (although of course could well still be evil and just an unlucky pick!) I can't say that I have noticed anything to implicate anyone else, but I am always wary of those pointing fingers at others...
     
  13. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    Btw, ic HG is right about how he would be viewed, then LR was named evil by a certain wolf message.
     
  14. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    This is exactly the kind of question a wolf would ask.

    I'm slightly conflicted about pointing the finger at you though, as you've also given valid reasons why it would be silly to get rid of me.
     
  15. Optimistichornet

    Optimistichornet Penguin Assassin

    hang on read the other messages in the thread. There is plenty of talk about going down potentially being a wolf, not just from me.
     
  16. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    I know we're all meant to be taking on roles and whatever, but I'd really be very surprised if GD was Messenger 2/the alpha wolf - the writing style of messenger 2 has been very pompous and shifty, I don't think that's GD's style at all.

    At a first guess, Squibba and Grrwood have the nearest writing styles to it. I'm well aware I'm also making Grrwood now "wary" of me, which could turn out to be counter-productive on my part.
     
  17. steve harrow

    steve harrow Reservist

    Wowee, this has gotten lively quick. Excellent night for team good overall.

    With the first message naming me as good, it's obvious to assume that's the seer and understandably I think it is. But don't forget the wolf doesn't know who is good or bad any more than the rest of us do. For me, message 1 on both days is the seer - horace, gags and I are vulnerable tonight but it is what it is.

    I admit I've no idea who the wolves (2?) might be.
     
    Horace_goes_up_north likes this.
  18. steve harrow

    steve harrow Reservist

    Sorry if this was mentioned already but are we thinking today's message might be from Beta Wolf after Diamond (as Alpha Wolf) died last night?
     
  19. hornetgags

    hornetgags McMuff's lovechild

    Good point.
     
  20. Morning all. Sorry, I just woke up as was on the night shift last night (real life night shift and not game related!).

    Firstly, thanks for nothing guardian! Unless you thought I was too obvious a target so left me alone. Playing games with my life though dude?!

    So there were 3 wolves. 1 killed burnsy and did of the virus. One went for hornetgags and he was the gunslinger, The third killed daft row.

    A pretty unlucky night for team evil!
     
  21. hornetgags

    hornetgags McMuff's lovechild

    As I'm outed I'm not really vulnerable, I've got some silver rounds left to defend myself if necessary.
     
    steve harrow likes this.
  22. I agree. I know I'm good and I'm assuming message 1 is still the seer because message 2 is being so useless.

    So guardian me, Steve harrow or hgags needs to be protected tonight.

    Any one of the three and the wolves are going to either have to leave us alone or have a 1 in 3 chance of another failed kill.

    Edit: if hgags still has bullets then just me or Steve.
     
  23. I'd also say that narrows down tonight's lynching from 1/13 to 1/10.
     
  24. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    Horentgags is implying he has more bullets to protect himself so it would be a waste for the Guardian to protect him
     
  25. Yeah I just edited my original post to say that.
     
  26. steve harrow

    steve harrow Reservist

    True! I'm happy for the guardian to protect who they think is best for team good. If that's me one of these nights, fine but otherwise, no worries.
     
  27. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    I agree with those thinking Message 1 on both days is that of the Seer - makes zero sense for a Seer not to name players they’ve viewed as it just makes matters more confusing for Team Good.
    So, assuming that’s correct, we have 3 confirmed good players: Horace; hornetgags (gunslinger); steve harrow
    If right, it means lowerrous - named as Evil by the Wolf - is unknown, as the Wolf would have no idea.
    So, we either lynch lowerrous, even though we know the odds say he is likely good, and take the view that, at the best, the Wolf may have accidentally named a fellow evil and, at the worst, if he is good it clears up once and for all which of the messages is from the Seer. Or we lynch another player based on more random “hunches” about who might have written the messages.
    Remember, there will be a traitor amongst us trying to subtly misdirect. I’ve played that role and it’s great fun taking advantage of people’s confusion, when you know exactly who the evil players are!
     
  28. miked2006

    miked2006 Premiership Prediction League Proprietor

    This is why I asked.

    It matters regarding whether the guardian should protect him or not. If gags can protect himself then the guardian can protect someone else, essentially allowing us to protect two good players.
     
  29. Lynch lowerrous and we probably get whether message 2 is the wolf or not (unless they've been incredibly unlucky and actually guessed the other wolf left!)
     
  30. hornetgags

    hornetgags McMuff's lovechild

    Dammit, I should have let on I didn't have any left and set a trap for wolfie.

    Just out interest, why did the Wolf spell Burnsy's name wrong in the message?

    I've checked yesterday's and today's posts and no one spelt it incorrectly from those who mentioned him....it could be a clue.
     
  31. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    I'd actually argue against lynching lowerrous. We are pretty certain which message is which so no need to kill him to find out which messages are from the seer.

    Assuming lowerrous isn't the alpha and has named themselves:

    We have 13 players, 10 confirmed good.

    1 of these players is lowerrous. He may be a non-alpha wolf or a traitor but it is unlikely he is the alpha wolf.

    For the other 9, we could all be either the alpha, other wolf or traitor.

    Statistically speaking, we have more chance getting an evil player if we lynch one of these 9 players. Sadly however, our seer is also likely amongst these nine players (unless the seer is lowerrous):

    Cassetti's Beard
    GoingDown
    Grrwood
    HappyHornet24
    miked2006
    nornironhorn
    Optimistichornet
    Squibba
    wfcmoog

    Of course, this is only valid if we don't think lowerrous would have named themselves as evil.

    This is usually a big risk in itself but seeing as the messages were sent at similar times (ie the wolf didn't know who the seer was going to view) then surely the alpha wouldn't name themselves given there was a chance the seer could also name them.
     
    miked2006 likes this.
  32. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    It's still a bit of an odd way of phrasing the question though, if that is rather what you were trying to get at.

    Your question made no direct reference to how many bullets he may have had left, or to the potential role of the guardian.
     
  33. Just throwing this out there but alpha doesn't know the second wolf. So may have named them.

    Youre reluctance to lynch lower just to confirm for sure which message is which makes me a little suspicious. Traitor maybe saving the beta? Just throwing it out there.
     
  34. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    Yea, so there are two potential evil roles lowerrous can be.

    For the other players I named, there are 3 potential evil roles they can be.
     
    wfcmoog likes this.
  35. Unless we are all 100% sure on the messages, I still think we go with lower just to confirm for sure. That then definitely 100% clears me and Steve and makes the wolf messages so far absolutely nailed on clear.
     
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