Weredeer - Day 4

Discussion in 'Old Games' started by Meh!, Dec 8, 2016.

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  1. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    HH24 has been quiet and was quick to latch on to blaming someone else here: "That's a good point about the timing of Meh!'s post about there being a tinker rather than a traitor. I have a horrible feeling that the Seer might have found the tinker. In the absence of any other message it's all we have to go on at the moment, though."

    Dodgy.

    Diamond, in response to you, most the time I'm just thinking out loud and share all possible scenarios and have them validated by everyone on here

    These are my notes so far:

    GOOD: Cassetti's Beard, Diamond, Grrwood

    UNDECIDED: Me, HH24, Cthulhu, Otter, Steve Harrow


    Vote for one of the Undecided but trust me it's not me, complete opposite in fact.
     
  2. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    How do we know Diamond is good. Cassetti's beard and Grrwood I think yes. Why Diamond?
     
  3. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Even CB we have to presume the second message yesterday was the seer and Im not 100% on that. But why Diamond, what am I missing?
     
  4. Cassetti's Beard

    Cassetti's Beard First Team

    Haha yeah yeah!

    Your post reeks of a desperate wolf.
     
  5. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    I don't see how you can to the conclusion about Diamond being definitely good.
    As for CB - we never ascertained which message was real yesterday (both were poorly written), I'd say 75% good at best.

    Remaining:

    Cassetti's Beard - due to two messages yesterday was named good in one; on balance probably is good.
    Cthulhu - highest poster over each day; usually the wolf would lay low is this a bluff of sorts by posting high and getting away with it as there appears to be an inexperienced wolf
    Diamond - very difficult to work out either way.
    Grrwood - the only player guaranteed to be good.
    HappyHornet24 - possible inexperienced reindeer.
    Otter / Me - I know I'm good but I can understand that like Diamond there isn't anything to go on.
    Squibba - I acccused yesterday but by the end thought better of it. Accused today by a message.
    steve harrow - I suspected yesterday as has been consistently quiet (opposite of cthulhu). Accused today by a message.


    + I think I know who the seer is.
     
  6. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    It is pretty desperate wolfy steve harrow, as have most of your defence today and your timing. Im swinging to believe the first message today was our seer.
     
  7. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Agree with all this. Lets keep quiet about your last point.
     
  8. Grrwood

    Grrwood Reservist

    THIS.

    I'm the only confirmed good and I suspect that I'm for the chop tonight anyway after being saved by the guardian. I'm still not sure on CB but in my opinion we cannot justify going for anyone other than those named evil today.

    I'll be having another look at the messages later but surely we have to go for either Squibba or steve harrow.
     
  9. steve harrow

    steve harrow Reservist

    But then you would say that wouldn't you?

    I know I'm good. If you think I'm evil or even just the tinker, then you vote for that. Hopefully enough other people will look again at yesterday's messages and determine which is from the seer and which is from the wolf. Then establish which is which today and make your mind up.
    Jellyman is known to be good. Cassetti's Beard is in no way declared good. And if it comes to it and evil hasn't already won (if that's possible tonight?) then team good will know who to target.
     
  10. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    Oh yeah,

    Not sure how I established Diamond is, my bad.

    I do believe CB is good though because I'm convinced the first message yesterday was from the wolf and he got lucky / smart.
     
  11. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Evil cant win tonight even mathematically.
    Jellyman is deaded
     
  12. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    Both of yesterday's messages were badly written. The first may have been in a rush but was hugely inconsistent with the messages from days 1 and 2. Message 2 had more body but there were a couple of points that didn't stack up as I stated last night (1) The writer expected the reindeer to write and (2) with Jelly having been cleared by the earlier message if this were the seer surely the seer would have double checked.

    The fact that Jelly was later to be found good is neither here nor there in my opinion, it doesn't necessarily exonerate the first message.
     
  13. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    A subtle and good point there Otter. Why did the second message yesterday expect the other to write when they hadn't on the first two days? May be nothing though
     
  14. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    All messages so far...

    Day 1

    Day 2

    Day 3

    Day 4

    Another thing on Day2 the message was sent to Meh very early, on day three it was sent at the beginning of the day but was not declared early. Day 1 message and Day 3 message 2 are at similar times. Style also suggests that Day 3 message 2 and Day 4 message 1 are the same person.

    Therefore unless he has a convincing case to prove that the second message is genuinely the seer's then steve harrow will get my vote later.
     
  15. Grrwood

    Grrwood Reservist

    Cheers otter, this is useful.

    Other than SLB, was HarrowOrn chucking any names around? Will be worth looking back I think.
     
  16. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    As for names, unless steve harrow convinces me otherwise, I shall be voting him out.

    Tomorrow the seer must take a look at HappyHornet in my opinion.
     
  17. Diamond

    Diamond Squad Player

    What musn't happen is for votes to be spread, so despite wanting to go for Squibba, (apologies for thinking there was a traitor), I'm happy to go with Harrow as well. However, I'd like to hear more on your Happy accusation as I don't see any evidence?
     
  18. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Just back from dog walk; back out for school run/chauffeuring in half an hour. I'd like to hear more on Otter's Happy accusation too!
     
  19. Cassetti's Beard

    Cassetti's Beard First Team

    Really hope it's Harrow, will give us a fighting chance.
     
  20. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Out of interest, how is that "blaming someone else"? I wrote that before we had received the second message, and we had only just found out there was a tinker in the game. And there's no traitor in the game.
     
  21. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    I am keen on otter's logic as above. Coupled with Steve's wolf like defence I think and the timing of the message I think he is evil more likely than not.
    What puts the nail in the coffin for me is that he has voted for and accused me most days with no evidence.
     
  22. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    I also think happy tomorrow for viewing
     
  23. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    I agree that message naming Steve seems to be most likely to be from the Seer. Happy ('scuse the pun) to be viewed tomorrow. It will be a waste re finding another evil, but at least it will be another confirmed "good" which will narrow down the possible evils.
     
  24. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Off on school run now; not back until c6pm
     
  25. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    Happy has been very quiet, a viewing wouldn't hurt IMO. Likewise I know I'm good and I have no objection to being viewed by the seer; so by defending herself from a potential viewing I would say that's a touch suspect.

    She also said she was putting up a tree today, there is no greater reindeer magnet than a Christmas tree.



    Edit: Just seen Happy's comment about being Happy to be viewed.
     
  26. miked2006

    miked2006 Premiership Prediction League Proprietor

    Mike, you is deeeeed.

    Get out.

    Edited by Mod!
     
  27. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Oi was that ghostly voice I heard?
     
  28. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    What the hell haha.
     
  29. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    It was a bit naughty. Particularly given the content
     
  30. Cassetti's Beard

    Cassetti's Beard First Team

    Ooo what did it say?
     
  31. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Shouldn't repeat prolly against dem rulez
     
  32. steve harrow

    steve harrow Reservist

    You're all wrong about me being evil of course but there you are. Some of you know this, some don't. Squibba gets named as evil too and the bad guys ignore that.

    I'm perplexed why anyone good can't see which messages is from the seer and which from the wolf yesterday and today but that's life. I've never gotten to the end of a werewolf yet! This time hadn't been helped by a particular couple of players being inactive. That would have made quite the difference.
     
  33. steve harrow

    steve harrow Reservist

    I've gone and voted for Squibba as the only other person named evil but doubt it'll make a difference. I suspect Cthulhu is particularly evil! Prime suspect for tomorrow team good!
     
  34. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Give it up Steve. Have some fun. You are either the tinker or more likely a weredeer. I think you are a deer. You're getting lynched
     
  35. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Happy to be viewed as then we can eliminate another good. Guardian keep your game up tonight
     
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