Points progress 19/20

Discussion in 'The Hornets' Nest - Watford Chat' started by Davidmsawyer, Aug 19, 2019.

  1. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    We seem to be on a par with 06/07 which was a great year.
    Wins at home against Blackpool, Portsmouth and Middlesbrough, wins away at Reading & West Ham.

    I just can't wait for this season to continue after the international break.
     
  2. WillisWasTheWorst

    WillisWasTheWorst Reservist

    Now, you're being a tiny bit sarcastic, aren't you?
     
  3. Sting

    Sting Squad Player

    Also posted this on the QSF thread but here may be a better place.
    I have had a look back at QSF's last season in charge. Of the games we have left he took 38 points last time around (substituting Burnley,Brighton and Sheffield Utd for Sunderland,Stoke and Swansea). This would give us 39 points against his previous achievement of 45.
    He needs to hit the ground running and improve on last time if his appointment is to help us. I am not optimistic.
     
  4. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    I may as well post this now...

    The current position is:
    • 11 points worse than this time last year (1 vs 12). This is the same as after the last game.
    • 3 points worse than the comparable fixtures last year (1 vs 4). This is the same as after the last game
    • 4 points worse than the '40 point' line (1 vs 5). This is 1 points worse than after the last game.
    [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
  5. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    YES!

    I take some of the credit for the turnaround from my pessimistic post after we went 2-0 down!

    The real position is...

    The current position is:
    • 10 points worse than this time last year (2 vs 12). This is 1 points better than after the last game.
    • 2 points worse than the comparable fixtures last year (2 vs 4). This is 1 points better than after the last game.
    • 3 points worse than the '40 point' line (2 vs 5). This is the same as after the last game
    [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
  6. Hornet4ever

    Hornet4ever WFC Forums Last Man Standing Winner 2018/2019

    I think you suffer from premature statulation?
     
    Sting, Sort of OK and Davidmsawyer like this.
  7. R4E

    R4E Reservist

    Blackpool definitely weren't in the Premier League that season.
     
  8. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    Pool/Burn same difference. Both Northern **** holes.

    Actually I take that back I once saw a pigeon decapitated by a tram in Blackpool. That was quite amusing.
     
  9. vic-rijrode

    vic-rijrode First Year Pro

    ...and here is that very decapitation:

     
  10. Supertommymooney

    Supertommymooney Reservist

    We are only 6 points behind Chelsea, Spurs and Man Utd

    European place is on!
     
  11. cyaninternetdog

    cyaninternetdog Forum Hippie

    Please keep updating this David.
     
  12. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    The current position is:
    • 11 points worse than this time last year (2 vs 13). This is the same as after the last game.
    • 5 points worse than the comparable fixtures last year (2 vs 7). This is 3 points worse than after the last game.
    • 5 points worse than the '40 point' line (2 vs 7). This is 1 points worse than after the last game.
    [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
  13. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    Enjoy!
     
    cyaninternetdog likes this.
  14. Aberdeen

    Aberdeen Academy Graduate

    Really useful charts - thank you
     
  15. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    I've fed the updated results into Meistertron 2000
    18% of the way in we're 5 points down on last year. This extrapolates to nearly 28 points down by the end of the season. Last season we scored 50 so I predict 22 points at the end.

    Thing is I can't see where we will get 22 points from the remaining 31 games.

    Currently WBA have the record at 34 points being the lowest tally to avoid relegation.
     
  16. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    Is not a word I would associate with at the moment.
     
  17. Aberdeen

    Aberdeen Academy Graduate

    Too optimistic surely? 2 points from 7 games multiplies up to 11 points for the season. Far more achievable.
     
  18. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    Ah the mathematical model vs the previous form model.

    Maybe we could use a hybrid method with some averaging? shall we settle on 20 or 19?
     
    Aberdeen likes this.
  19. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    I also think we should overlay a drop in form for the last few games. So maybe 15 points?

    Still comfortably above Derby’s lowest total.
     
    hornmeister and Aberdeen like this.
  20. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    1 point closer to our final points tally:

    The current position is:
    • 10 points worse than this time last year (3 vs 13). This is 1 points better than after the last game.
    • 7 points worse than the comparable fixtures last year (3 vs 10). This is 2 points worse than after the last game.
    • 5 points worse than the '40 point' line (3 vs 8). This is the same as after the last game
    [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
  21. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    Worst year ever.
    It's official.
     
  22. Bwood_Horn

    Bwood_Horn Squad Player

    @Davidmsawyer - have you thought about moving into coprolite jewellery manufacture?

    ...you're gaining vital skills in turd polishing.
     
    Davidmsawyer likes this.
  23. Knight GT

    Knight GT Predictor extraordinaire 2013/14

    That is the last time I visit this thread until thing start to improve. I'm depressed now
     
    Davidmsawyer likes this.
  24. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    I’ll let you know when it is safe to look again!
     
  25. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    Maybe I should add a ‘Derby’ line?

    ....

    we are currently behind Derby by 2 points after this game. We are playing catch up !
     
  26. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    We got another point. What are you moaning about. That's a 50% improvement in performance.
     
    Happy bunny and Davidmsawyer like this.
  27. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    I'm liking the Derby line idea.
     
  28. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Reservist

    We are breaking records all over at the moment.

    Here are the ones:

    • Joint worst F.A Cup Final Loss
    • Joint worst winless run as a Premiership Club (If we don't beat Spurs that's another one smashed!!)
    • Worst points tally to the start of the season as a Premiership Club
    • Fastest Premier League goal scored against us (vs. Southampton H)
    • First team ever to be 5-0 down so quickly (vs. Man City)
    • Largest Premier League defeat in our history as a Premiership Club.

    WATFORD FC = RECORD BREAKERS*

    Life feels really good being a hornet at the moment doesn't it? ;)




    *for all the wrong reasons....
     
    Happy bunny likes this.
  29. wfc4ever

    wfc4ever First Team Captain

    What is our worse start to a season?

    And what is the longest we've gone without a win..?

    This season must run both close!!
     
  30. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Reservist

    This is possibly our worst? If we don't beat Spuds it will be worse than the 99\00 season.
     
  31. WillisWasTheWorst

    WillisWasTheWorst Reservist

    1990/91 was the season that began with Colin Lee as manager and ended with the greatest of great escapes under Perryman. We started with 6 (SIX) straight home defeats, followed by three draws before winning at the tenth attempt. It was also the season which included the horrendous 4-1 cup defeat at Shrewsbury. Hands up anyone else who was there that day.
     
  32. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    The current position is:
    • 12 points worse than this time last year (4 vs 16). This is 2 points worse than after the last game.
    • 6 points worse than the comparable fixtures last year (4 vs 10). This is 1 points better than after the last game.
    • 5 points worse than the '40 point' line (4 vs 9). This is the same as after the last game
    [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
    cyaninternetdog and Sahorn like this.
  33. Aberdeen

    Aberdeen Academy Graduate

    In a way the "comparable" chart is encouraging. It seems to suggest a bit that we have started with harder matches than last year. If we got the same results from comparable games for the rest of the season we would end up 6 points down on last year. 44 points would not be bad.
     
  34. So we're at least now matching the 40 point gradient, that's a positive
     
  35. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    One other thing I didn’t spot is that we have the same number of points as 84/85 when we survived.
     
    Happy bunny likes this.

Share This Page