Points progress 19/20

Discussion in 'The Hornets' Nest - Watford Chat' started by Davidmsawyer, Aug 19, 2019.

  1. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    Here is the first update for this season and unfortunately the progress has so far been limited to say the least!

    Interestingly for the comparable fixtures for last year we now have four losses in a row coming up. Hopefully history will not repeat itself!

    The current position is:
    • 6 points worse than this time last year (0 vs 6). This is 3 points worse than after the last game.
    • 4 points worse than the comparable fixtures last year (0 vs 4). This is 1 points worse than after the last game.
    • 2 points worse than the '40 point' line (0 vs 2). This is 1 points worse than after the last game.
    [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
  2. UEA_Hornet

    UEA_Hornet First Team Captain

    Cheers @Davidmsawyer

    So 20 years on we're aping 99/00? I knew there was a retro feel to things.
     
    kVA and StuBoy like this.
  3. Lloyd

    Lloyd Reservist

    Couldn't you have waited until we've picked up a few points? This might tip some people over the edge
     
  4. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth Squad Player

    Correct. The risk of relegation and losing the ashes at home is just too much. Farewell cruel world.
     
  5. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    We had an exceptionally good start last year which effectively counteracted our end of season relegation form and served us up a mid table finishing position.

    The rot needs to be stopped quickly and whilst the performance at Everton was better, it's still a case of us not taking our chances and making mistakes at the back.

    This year we are on target for a zero points finish.

    :p
     
    SkylaRose likes this.
  6. RookeryDad

    RookeryDad Squad Player


    Boo!
     
  7. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    Meisters' predictatron suggests 25 points at the end of the season.

    It also selected brown as the best colour to represent our performances.
     

    Attached Files:

    The undeniable truth likes this.
  8. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    I've fed our initial two results and scorelines into a sophisticated, AI algorithm, which has predicted, after 38 games, we will sit on 0 points, 0 goals scored and 76 goals conceded. Have to hope that there are 3 worse teams than that, come May.
     
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  9. StuBoy

    StuBoy Forum Cad and Bounder

    Yes uncanny. Who's going to get the Mooney'esque season ending injury though? My money is on Welbeck, but it will probably be Sarr.

    Looking forward to our victory at Anfield though at least.
     
  10. folkestone orn

    folkestone orn Reservist

    Wow. I thought I was pessimistic. We'll get at least 27 points.
     
  11. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    My plan is to publish this post every Tuesday just after the pain of no points again disappears. I think this will escalate the pain on this forum.
     
    wfcmoog likes this.
  12. Arakel

    Arakel First Team

    All the more reason to post it IMO.
     
    RookeryDad likes this.
  13. hornetboy1

    hornetboy1 First Team

    Hopefully this will cheer everyone up.

    [​IMG]
     
  14. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Reservist

    Is it supposed to be upsidedown? Lol.

    @Davidmsawyer thanks for the update. I only hope the team after Saturday"s game fills you with less gloom as you hesitate to not put nil again.
     
  15. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth Squad Player

    Silly old HB1. Doh.
    It works ok if you turn your tablet upside down slowly, so no harm done.
     
  16. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth Squad Player

    Yes, much better. Looks more like last season now.
     
  17. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    We can beat anyone at home on our day*

    Whilst preparing my points progress charts I decided to look at how we’d done against teams in different finishing positions over our last few years in The Best League In The World ™.

    As you’d expect we get more points from teams at the bottom (duh!), but there were some interesting patterns.

    1. We know don’t do well against the teams at the top. We’ve yet to take a point at home from a team finishing in the top 2 at home, or away against a team finishing in the top 4. No surprises there.

    2. Outside the top teams though, our home form is very similar. From positions 6 to 17 we tend to average the same points. Hence the name of the title of this thread. You’d think we’d do a lot better on average against the teams in places 11-17 (average 1.38 per game) than places 6-10 (average 1.8 points per game), but this isn’t the case. So when it comes to our home form apart from the very best and the very worst – we tend to get the same results

    3. Our away form is much more in line with what you would expect – with a more even spread of points in different groups.

    4. Number 13 is our unlucky number. We have yet to take a point against the team that finishes in 13th place away from home. Finally proof the 13 is an unlucky number.

    5. We always beat the bottom team when we play them at home. Good news for Brighton.

    * as long as they aren’t too good, and we don’t play them this season.

    [​IMG]
     
  18. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    We are bottom as such I deduce we will be beating ourselves.
     
  19. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    mmmm I need to find a better way to share images now. I was using tinypic but it says today it is shutting down. On the last post I used postimage but that shows a very small picture as you can tell.

    Anyone got another good option?
     
  20. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

  21. Aberystwyth_Hornet

    Aberystwyth_Hornet Squad Player

    Alas not as three teams will end up on at least 6 points in that situation. All we can pray for is 3 teams get kicked out of the league...
     
  22. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    Bit negative. I still think, even if we lose every game 2-0, we will still have enough to stay up.
     
  23. cyaninternetdog

    cyaninternetdog Forum Hippie

    imgur.com
     
  24. ST1968

    ST1968 Academy Graduate

    So when is David going to extend the graph to 60 points this season? oh, hang on....
     
    cyaninternetdog and PowerJugs like this.
  25. cyaninternetdog

    cyaninternetdog Forum Hippie

    Where is the latest graph?
     
  26. CarlosKickaballs

    CarlosKickaballs Forum Picarso

    Are these ***** relegated yet?
     
  27. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    The current position is:
    • 9 points worse than this time last year (0 vs 9). This is 3 points worse than after the last game.
    • 4 points worse than the comparable fixtures last year (0 vs 4). This is the same as after the last game
    • 3 points worse than the '40 point' line (0 vs 3). This is 1 points worse than after the last game.
    [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
  28. PowerJugs

    PowerJugs Doyley Fanatic

    Well, so far at least we're consistent with Mazzarri's Season.
     
  29. Ágætis Byrjun

    Ágætis Byrjun Reservist

    I don't think we need a y axis that goes as high as 50
     
  30. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth Squad Player

    Consistent as in "only just worse than?
     
  31. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Reservist

    Are we going to continue to flatline today? Surely Javi got the shock pads working.
     
  32. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    Apart from the Newcastle & West Ham results trading places, Meisters's predication 2000 was worth the outlay as we remain on 1 point.
     
  33. hornmeister

    hornmeister Administrator Staff Member

    Not sure we need a Y axis at all.
     
    Ágætis Byrjun likes this.
  34. LaClusazSki

    LaClusazSki Academy Graduate

    Our time is up.
    We will be relegated this season.
     
  35. Davidmsawyer

    Davidmsawyer Statto Statto Statto

    We have lift off!

    Only 3 points off 12th place...

    The current position is:
    • 11 points worse than this time last year (1 vs 12). This is 2 points worse than after the last game.
    • 3 points worse than the comparable fixtures last year (1 vs 4). This is 1 points better than after the last game.
    • 3 points worse than the '40 point' line (1 vs 4). This is the same as after the last game
    [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
    hornmeister likes this.

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