Championship Predictor

Discussion in 'The Hornets' Nest - Watford Chat' started by wfc4ever, Mar 18, 2021.

  1. wfc4ever

    wfc4ever First Team Captain

    People might remember this from before on the Grimsby site:

    https://thefishy.co.uk/football-calculator.php

    This was my final table - a win on the final day sees us get 2nd!

    Pos Team PGD Pts

    1 Norwich 46+29 100
    2 Watford 46+26 91
    3 Swansea4 6+17 90
    4 Brentford46+26 88
    5 Barnsley 46+883
    6 Bournemouth 46+18 79
    7 Reading 46+11 74
    8 Cardiff 46+17 72
    9 Middlesbrough 46+8 72
    10 Bristol City 46-9 67
    11 Stoke 46-1 63
    12 QPR 46-4 59
    13 Luton 46-11 57
    14 Millwall 46+1 56
    15 Blackburn 46+8 55
    16 Nott'm Forest 46-8 52
    17 Derby 46-14 51
    18 Coventry 46-16 50
    19 Huddersfield 46-1 149
    20Preston 46-9 46
    21 Birmingham 46-19 46
    22 Rotherham 46-11 45
    23 Sheff Wed 46-20 33
    24 Wycombe 46-36 28
     
  2. Harrybassetthater

    Harrybassetthater Academy Graduate

    I think Brentford are our only rivals for second place. Swansea will fade into fourth place. If we finish third I agree with your other top six predictions which would see us play Bournemouth which would be quite unpredictable. Therefore we need to finish runners-up.
     
    wfc4ever likes this.
  3. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    yeap we are going to end up in 3rd or 4th narrowly and having to take on Muff aren't we?
     
    wfc4ever likes this.
  4. hornetboy1

    hornetboy1 First Team

    I know Barnsley are on a good run, but that many points would be staggering.

    I agree pretty much with your placements, and obviously hope it's us in 2nd. But if it is only a point between us and Swansea going into the final game, I'm not sure I'll be able to take that. Luton will be 24th, even if that won't be the case, it would look nice to see in your table.
     
    wfc4ever likes this.
  5. FromDiv4

    FromDiv4 Reservist

    I just did the Watford games and got this.
    upload_2021-3-18_12-17-57.png
     
  6. wfc4ever

    wfc4ever First Team Captain

    Yes - was surprised but their run in isn't bad.

    Got a big game against Reading soon and Norwich on the final day who will probably play kids but the rest of their fixtures are against sides in the bottom half - likes of Luton/Preston and teams at the bottom.

    Again Swansea seem to have a kind run of games book ended by Cardiff and us.

    Whereas I can see Brentford dropping points v Millwall, Cardiff and Bournemouth.

    We really do need to be 3/4 points ahead of of both going into the final 2 games.
     
  7. Knight GT

    Knight GT Predictor extraordinaire 2013/14

    Bizarrely I did the same and they gave Swansea six more points than yours did
    Pos Team P GD Pts
    1 Norwich 46 +42 106
    2 Swansea 46 +28 94
    3 Watford 46 +26 92
    4 Brentford 46 +29 85
     
  8. The Voice of Reason

    The Voice of Reason First Team Captain

    I tried to be as objective and fair as possible, so hopefully I was: -

    1 Norwich - 97
    2 Watford - 91
    3 Swansea - 88
    4 Barnsley - 87
    5 Brentford - 83 (this one surprised me, but I honestly scored it as I saw it)
    6 Bournemouth - 76
    7 Cardiff - 74
    8 Reading - 71
    9 Bristol City - 70
    10 Middlesbrough - 69
    11 QPR - 66
    12 Millwall - 59
    13 Luton - 55
    14 Blackburn- 54
    15 Stoke City - 54
    16 Nottingham Forest - 53
    17 Preston North End - 52
    18 Derby County - 51
    19 Huddersfield - 50
    20 Birmingham City - 47
    21 Coventry City - 46
    22 Rotherham United - 36
    23 Sheffield Wednesday - 31
    24 Wycombe Wanderers - 29

    I will be well happy if this is how it all ends up, but as for the playoffs I really find it hard to call it. I believe 3rd v 6th and 4th v 5th is how the draw is made so according to my results above that would be: - Swansea v Bournemouth & Barnsley v Brentford?

    Therefore from those games I would probably call a Bournemouth v Brentford Final (though it will depend if Barnsley current bubble has burst by then) However whether Barnsley or Brentford make the final I would expect them to beat Bournemouth in that final.

    So I'm sitting on the fence and saying the playoff winners will be either Barnsley or Brentford.
     
    wfc4ever likes this.
  9. a19tgg

    a19tgg Squad Player

    I did mine on the championship thread, I had us and Brentford on 91 but Brentford going up on GD. I put both our games against Brentford and Swansea as draws, though, so turn one into a win and we’d get second place.
     
  10. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    I just put our results in. Thought I had been realistic - had us lose to Middlesbrough and Norwich and draw against Brentford. But ended up with this:
    5D06DE70-5BE2-4984-AE50-BEDE5BB3008C.png
     
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  11. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    I’m surprised Brentford is so low. I would have Brentford as our biggest rivals for second.
     
  12. The Voice of Reason

    The Voice of Reason First Team Captain

    That is quite uncanny as in my predictions above in #8 I have predicted the exact same top 5 in that order, the only difference is I have Muff in 6th. Furthermore the team who's result I was most surprised about was Brentford's, however I have predicted the exact same amount of points for them as the Automatic Predictor has in your table 83 points, which is very interesting and looks like it could be good news for us.
     
    Last edited: Mar 18, 2021
  13. WillisWasTheWorst

    WillisWasTheWorst Its making less grammar mistake's thats important

    I'd be amazed if Swansea get to 90 points, especially if it's before the last game as you suggest.
     
  14. ITK platypus

    ITK platypus Reservist

    I have Barnsley scraping the title on the last day of the season at Wycombe's expense.

    Norwich agonisingly miss out on the playoffs and we come 14th.

    I did overlay various points deductions for misconduct charges that are yet to come to light.
     
  15. Oscar calling

    Oscar calling Squad Player

    I can't see us getting 90 points or more. We will be playing Barnsley in the semi final play off. Swansea will play the Muffins in the other one.
     
  16. wfc4ever

    wfc4ever First Team Captain

    Think I had them to win 6 * of their last games (including the game in hand at Sheffield Wednesday) and drawing 3.

    Preston
    Cardiff
    QPR
    Wycombe
    Birmingham
    Sheff Wednesday

    Draw with:

    Reading
    Millwall
    Derby

    We'd probably like the look of that fixture list tbh.

    Hopefully won't be that good and their poor form carries on with no lucky decisions going their way!
     
  17. Siohmy

    Siohmy Reservist

    Was thinking about giving this a go but we’ll finish on 99 and beat Norwich to the title by a point.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
  18. wfc4ever

    wfc4ever First Team Captain

    Well that is 2 points better off than predicted so to speak .
     
  19. Charly says

    Charly says Academy Graduate

    Norwich will be top and deservedly so.
    Think we’ll be 5 points behind them in second.
    Don’t care about the rest.
     
  20. FromDiv4

    FromDiv4 Reservist

    Just done this again putting us down for a draw in all our games, could be enough, but tight to the very end.
    upload_2021-4-8_8-3-23.png
     
  21. Knight GT

    Knight GT Predictor extraordinaire 2013/14

  22. IRB

    IRB THe artist formally know as ImRonBurgundy?

    I put us down to draw every game apart from a loss to Norwich. I then gave Brentford generous results in all their games, except a loss against Bournemouth

    We still ended up level on points!

    Would be catastrophic for us to not make the autos from here
     
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  23. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Reservist

    Pos Team P GD Pts
    1 Norwich 46 +36 103
    2 Watford 46 +30 91
    3 Brentford 46 +26 82
    4 Bournemouth 46 +22 81
    5 Barnsley 46 +8 81
    6 Swansea 46 +14 79
    7 Cardiff 46 +12 74
    8 Reading 46 +13 73
    9 QPR 46 -3 69
    10 Middlesbrough 46 +5 66
    11 Millwall 46 +4 65
    12 Luton 46 -13 62
    13 Stoke 46 +1 61
    14 Nott'm Forest 46 -5 59
    15 Blackburn 46 +5 58
    16 Preston 46 -9 57
    17 Bristol City 46 -15 52
    18 Rotherham 46 -13 47
    19 Birmingham 46 -21 47
    20 Derby 46 -15 46
    21 Huddersfield 46 -18 45
    22 Coventry 46 -17 43
    23 Sheff Wed 46 -15 41
    24 Wycombe 46 -32 33

    Gave fair results to all on form etc. I had us draw at Brentford and beat Swan Dive final day.
     
  24. Supertommymooney

    Supertommymooney Reservist

    I've said similar before, but predicting the Championship results is like herding cats on amphetamines with one hand tied behind your back and the other in an oven glove.
     
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  25. Since63

    Since63 Reservist

    I'd lay off the speed if I were you....
     
  26. Hogg-DEENEY!!!

    Hogg-DEENEY!!! Reservist

    1 Norwich 46 +36 105
    2 Watford 46 +30 90
    3 Brentford 46 +26 84
    4 Bournemouth 46 +22 83
    5 Barnsley 46 +8 81
    6 Swansea 46 +14 78
    7 Reading 46 +13 77
    8 Middlesbrough 46 +5 68
    9 Cardiff 46 +12 65
    10 Millwall 46 +4 63
    11 Nott'm Forest 46 -5 62
    12 Stoke 46 +1 60
    13 Luton 46 -13 59
    14 QPR 46 -3 56
    15 Preston 46 -9 53
    16 Birmingham 46 -21 52
    17 Blackburn 46 +5 51
    18 Bristol City 46 -15 49
    19 Derby 46 -15 47
    20 Coventry 46 -17 47
    21 Huddersfield 46 -18 46
    22 Rotherham 46 -13 45
    23 Sheff Wed 46 -15 43
    24 Wycombe 46 -32 39

    Gone for Norwich to win all their remaining games, us to draw to Reading and Brentford and win the rest, Brentford to draw to Preston, lose to Bournemouth and win the rest. Think I've gone for Swansea to win 2 and draw 3 to just about scrape into the play-offs, Reading have some hard fixtures
     
  27. westbridgfordhornet

    westbridgfordhornet Academy Graduate

    Looks like Super TM picked the wrong week.

     
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  28. wfc4ever

    wfc4ever First Team Captain

    Done the predictor again.

    Got us dropping points v Norwich (Losing) and Brentford (Drawing) and still going up by 6/7 points.
     
  29. Markoa$

    Markoa$ Reservist

    Done the predictor again. Still have us beating Norwich and winning the league.
     
  30. I Blame Bassett

    I Blame Bassett Squad Player

    I'm going to try and go back to sleep with that thought.
     
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