Season Statistics 2020-21

#JokaOut

 

Those PPG from now would give us just shy of 92 points. Enough?

 

Looking at the top picture, I'd forgotten that for all our swashbuckling football, we didn't get all that many points, less than 2005/06 and only equal to 1998/99 - we'd need near relegation form not to equal that total this season.

Makes me wonder how we'd have fared had we won the play-off final - Palace are still up there after going up with fewer points, but they had Holloway in charge for much of the season and had a better squad than the points total suggested, are a bigger club than us, and like or loathe him, they have the Zaha factor.

 

During the Brighton game the commentator mentioned that Palace are still in the PL after they beat us. I just assumed they had gone down and back up like they usually do! They're now on their longest run of consecutive seasons in the top division.

 

Most people seem to believe we'd have got relegated if we'd gone up due to Zola's struggles the year after. I think the opposite. A side built around a prime Abdi and Vydra, a younger less arrogant Deeney and the likelihood of bringing in players of a higher calibre due to the Zola factor would have been great.

Shame we never got to see it.

 

Who's to say whether we would have retained Zola had we gone up in 2013?

 

last 14 games of 14/15 was 10 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. That's 33 points (2.35 per game). Do that in these last 14 = 93 points and that's enough for top 2
Win all games apart from
Cardiff away - D
Norwich away - D
Brentford away - L
Swansea home - D
You can mix and match your draws and one loss from those 4 games, but just have to win the other 10 games ☺

 

All very well but losing to Brentford could be decisive.

 

Factoring in a loss to Brentford is probably too high a risk.

 

If we win two of the games v Swansea, Norwich and Brentford, and don't lose any of them, then we almost certainly won't need as many as 92 points.

 

They achieved that quite some time ago after avoiding relegation in 2016/17. Before then they'd never managed more than four seasons in the top flight, including when they finished 3rd in 1990/91, now they're on course to more than double that!

 

They only need to look as far as Charlton to be careful about what they wish for.

 

Copying this into this thread as more relevant .....



Just did a bit of statto research into Xisco's reign. This is based upon an admittedly small sample size of 14 games , but enough information to instigate an interest.

1- Under Xisco, Watford have scored 1.57 goals per game. In comparison to other teams (over the whole season) this has only been bettered by Brentford at 1.79 gpg. Third in the list is Cardiff with 1.56 gpg - Watford under Xisco are second in gpg scored.

2- Under Xisco, Watford have conceded 0.64 goals per game. In comparison to other teams (over the whole season) Swansea are second placed having conceded 0.72 gpg. Norwich are third placed having conceded 0.74 gpg - Watford under Xisco are first in gpg conceded.

3- Under Xisco, Watford have won 2.08 points per game. In comparison to other teams (over the whole season) Norwich are first having won 2.15 points per game. Brentford are third with 1.86 ppg - Watford under Xisco are second in ppg.

4- And for the Xg fans , the net XG ( ie the difference between XG and XGA) we are second behind Brentford. Norwich are third. These stats are for Watford's whole season. I cant find stats for net XG for just the last 14 games ( Xisco's tenure). We may be top for net XG for Xisco's tenure also, I dont know.

 

I am so pleased you do this Hornet77, it is a reliable, consistent and I know where everything is, unlike the official Watford web site!

 

Totally agree. Thank you H77

 

Hornet77 is the statistician Watford fans need right now, but not the one we necessarily deserve.

Really excellent work.

 

Going to need a longer panel for goal scorers after Rotherham.

 

Done, we now have 18 diferent scorers, 19 if you include OGs! I'll update the league table again after tonight's games.

 

I've updated the league table and added the run-in fixtures for the top nine teams, e.g. any team with a realistic chance of making the play-offs.

 

"One game at a time" but I do like the table on remaining fixtures. Just a quick additional note - I believe Swansea still have a game to schedule in addition to those listed. Nice to see Brentford are often playing catch up and their game in hand doesn't come until end of April. That could work in our favour.

 

Plus as others have said it's in the midweek before they play us.

 

I reckon the crunch period for us will be the L*ton/Norwich consecutive away games, two hard away games in 3 days. Other than us, Norwich are the best team in the league (although we've already beaten them this year) and L*ton will surely want to do everything in their power to stop us; I can't see the dog kennel being as tame as the Vic fixture.

Come through those with 4 or more points and I think we'll be in with a very, very good shot of 2nd.

 

Swanses'a outstanding fixture away at Sheffield Wednesday has been scheduled for Tuesday 13th April, meaning between the 10th and 20th April they have four games in 11 days. Brentford also have two midweek games in consequtive weeks in April. By comparison we only have one midweek game in April, aside from the Easter weekend when everyone plays twice. I'll update the graphic after Saturday's games.

 

Just calculated that Munoz has a 72% win rate in the league. Can't really argue with that!

 

Beginner’s luck?

 

He clearly knows how to galvanise a squad and develop a positive atmosphere. Time will tell whether he is tactically good, I guess.

 

Just remember: he’s not the one that kicks the football. But well done anyway.